Easier to get struck by lightening than for women +35 yr to get married? - AznLover.com - Asian/AMXF Social Networking Community
AZNLover Home Forum Personals

Go Back   AznLover.com - Asian/AMXF Social Networking Community » AznLover Chronicles » AznLover 28 and over

Notices

AznLover 28 and over Discussions by members aged 28 and over.

» Site Navigation
» -------------------
» -------------------
» -------------------
» Upcoming Events
No events scheduled in
the next 30 days.
» New Gallery Photos


Latest 5 Blogs


The move part 1 Last Blog: 12-01-2008 By: Lady_Fate




Just thoughts... Last Blog: 12-01-2008 By: MonkeyD


Thanksgiving in Vegas... Last Blog: 11-30-2008 By: Notorious E.Y.K

What a weekend... Last Blog: 11-30-2008 By: christine28



» Social Groups
Awesome Arizona
Member Count - 2
Picture Count - 0

Dennis Joseph O'neil - Fans and Lovers
Member Count - 1
Picture Count - 35

Daniel Phillip Henney - My Dream man
Member Count - 3
Picture Count - 11

Takeshi Kaneshiro Lovers
Member Count - 9
Picture Count - 13

Dance/ Club & JPop music & Awesome Remixes of them
Member Count - 5
Picture Count - 3



View All Groups
» New AZNLover Articles
Yo-Yo Ma Jams with Friends in Joyful New Album
Category: Asian Music Entertainment,  posted on 11-21-2008 by Kristina
Fashion Quandry for Asian American Men
Category: Asian Style and Fashion,  posted on 11-20-2008 by AZNLover
Asian Parents and the
Category: Asian Culture,  posted on 11-16-2008 by AZNLover
» Current Poll
Which Wed works best for you?
I'm in for any Wed. - 8.33%
2 Votes
I'm in for Wed, Nov 12th. - 8.33%
2 Votes
I'm in for Wed, Nov 19th. - 33.33%
8 Votes
I'm a maybe (click 2 so I still know which date you prefer) - 16.67%
4 Votes
Damn, this sounds awesome but I can't make it. sniff sniff - 58.33%
14 Votes
No way, not ever... I can't believe you're thowing a scandalous meet like this! - 0%
0 Votes
Total Votes: 24
You may not vote on this poll.
Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
  post #1 (permalink)  
Old 07-21-2006, 10:14 AM
carpediem's Avatar
carpediem surfing AZNLover.com
On a Vacation
 
About
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: LA and Saratoga, CA
AL Buck$: 1,526
Posts: 26
Friends: (0)
Nominated 0 Times in 0 Posts
TOTW Award(s): 0
Rep Power: 0 @ 129
carpediem is on a distinguished roadcarpediem is on a distinguished road
Easier to get struck by lightening than for women +35 yr to get married?

My friend Steve and I were talking (more like bullshitting) last night and he told me a bizarre statistics about relationship, so please don't yell at me or shoot the messenger of this message. LOL.

He said that it's easier to get struck by lightening than for woman who's +35 yrs old to get married.

I thought that his statement was somewhat wrong given what I knew of the facts (anecdotally). However, I thought it was very interesting and worth pursuing to find the correct data. I made a bet with him and I thought that the odds are better for women at that age range or older.

I was correct, but still was very surprised at what I found out. Here's what I found out and I'll include the source of my information at the bottom.

An recent article stated, "...demographic research predicting that white, college-educated women who failed to marry in their 20s faced abysmal odds of ever tying the knot. According to the research, a woman who remained single at 30 had only a 20 percent chance of ever marrying. By 35, the probability dropped to 5 percent. In the story's most infamous line, NEWSWEEK reported that a 40-year-old single woman was "more likely to be killed by a terrorist" than to ever marry." - that's crazy and fucking amazing.

Needless to say, my friend, Steve, loss the bet and he owes me lunch and has to pay for my green fees the next time we play golf. LOL. It's nice to win a bet.

Here's my source for the information. It's from a Newsweek article. I consider it a reputable publication, but if anyone has contradictory data, please tell me. Inquiring minds would like to know! LOL.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/13007828/site/newsweek/

carpediem
Digg this Post!Add Post to del.icio.usBookmark Post in TechnoratiFurl this Post!
Reply With Quote
  post #2 (permalink)  
Old 07-21-2006, 10:24 AM
sweeteugenia05
sweeteugenia05 surfing AZNLover.com Edit
Guest
 
About
AL Buck$: 0 [Check]
Posts: n/a
Rep Power: @
I live to defy statistics!!!
I heard that was a myth that is being perpetuated, and I choose to believe that!
Digg this Post!Add Post to del.icio.usBookmark Post in TechnoratiFurl this Post!
Reply With Quote
  post #3 (permalink)  
Old 07-21-2006, 10:26 AM
Nomad's Avatar
Nomad surfing AZNLover.com
I have some Thai in me!
 
About
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Cross your fingers f
Gender: Female
AL Buck$: 6,738
Posts: 9,658
Friends: (30)
Nominated 0 Times in 0 Posts
TOTW Award(s): 0
Rep Power: 729 @ 58820
Nomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud of
Wow! Those are some dismal looking stats. I would wager that within the next few years, things will improve a lot for women who are over 35 and still wanting to get married. The reason I say that is because the age people get married on average is going up every single year. I'll bet in 10 years, we won't see much discrepancy at all in this regard.

He's worth it.
Digg this Post!Add Post to del.icio.usBookmark Post in TechnoratiFurl this Post!
Reply With Quote
  post #4 (permalink)  
Old 07-21-2006, 10:34 AM
sushirama's Avatar
sushirama status is: thankful!
AZNLover.com Premium/Supporting Member
 
About
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Bay Area, California
Gender: Female
AL Buck$: 12,888
Posts: 3,505
Friends: (56)
Nominated 7 Times in 4 Posts
TOTW Award(s): 0
Rep Power: 5230 @ 515026
sushirama has a reputation beyond reputesushirama has a reputation beyond reputesushirama has a reputation beyond reputesushirama has a reputation beyond reputesushirama has a reputation beyond reputesushirama has a reputation beyond reputesushirama has a reputation beyond reputesushirama has a reputation beyond reputesushirama has a reputation beyond reputesushirama has a reputation beyond reputesushirama has a reputation beyond repute
Too funny... I actually bought the Newsweek that had that apologetic article in it....

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2006/...39_page2.shtml

Marriage After 40? Not Impossible!
Newsweek Revisits 20-Year-Old Story On Women's Marriage Statistics


(CBS) Twenty years ago, Newsweek magazine caused an uproar among single working women when it published a controversial article predicting that professional women over the age of 30 would have a very hard time getting married. Now they admit that those numbers were way off.

Newsweek Senior Editor Lisa Miller joined The Early Show co-anchor Hannah Storm to look back at those numbers and give an encouraging update for single women.

The 1986 article predicted that women after 30 only had a 20 percent chance of getting married. For women over 40, those chances plummeted to 2.6 percent, according to the article.

Asked why those numbers were so completely wrong, Miller said: "Because it was the middle of a cultural revolution. More women were at work, more women were getting college educations. More women were able to be financially independent and it was like predicting the future based on the past when all women got married by 20."

Miller remembers that the reaction to the original article was unbelievable.

"People were anxious, furious, skeptical," she said. "Immediately the census came out with new numbers saying that 2.6 number was too low and it was more like 20 percent for 40-year-old women."

But Miller says there is good news for women older than 40. "So the good news is that for a woman over 40 who is single, she has a 40 percent chance of getting married, at least, and probably better than that," she said.

She pointed out that "90-ish percent" of baby boomer women are married.

Newsweek's original article featured 14 single women; 20 years later, the magazine tracked down 11 of the women and found that eight are married. None of them had divorced, many had children or step-children and all say they were happy.

Two of those women, Laurie Aronson Starr and Sally Jackson, joined The Early Show Wednesday to share their thoughts on the article. Both of them were single career women in 1986 and are both are now happily married.

In 1986, Laurie said, "I'm not married, but I still have a meaningful life with meaningful relationships." Looking back, she says she was a happy single person.

"I definitely was. And, you know, the statistics made me very angry that they said, you know, I wasn't going to get married or my chances were slim, and basically they kind of discounted me," she said. "I wasn't a person. And I felt I had a life. And it really made me mad."

Laurie went on to marry the brother of a close friend when she was 39 years old.

Asked whether, at any point, she had wondered whether she'd ever tie the knot, Laurie said: "I did. I was worried. I really was worried. I had done the single thing for a long time. And there were a lot of pressures, mainly from my family and my mom and dad were getting worried. I was getting a little worried because I really wanted to have children, as well. So, time was kind of slipping by and I really felt like I did everything I wanted to do in life. I had a great career. Great friends. I traveled. And I was ready for something different."

Twenty years ago, Sally described herself as being happily single, but at age 47 she got married to a 50-year-old man who had never been married.

"I hear you guys make a fantastic couple. And people must look at you and say, there's hope for me, right?" Storm asked.

"I have heard that sentence. Many times," Sally said.

Asked how much difference she thinks it made for her that she didn't put pressure on herself to get married, Sally said: "Well, it probably made those single years a lot happier. Because I wasn't longing for something I didn't have. I loved the story you just did about taking a class in being happy. You know, it's perfect. You know, I had a very wide circle of friends. I had a business that I was growing. And I needed to devote that time to that, to make it successful."

So what's the takeaway message for single women here? Miller says it's two-fold.

"The first one is: if you want to get married, you will," she said. "And the second one is: if you want to stay single, the world is much more accommodating to you."

Out of suffering have emerged the strongest souls. The most massive characters are seared with scars. ~ Khalil Gibran

Live as if you were to die tomorrow. Learn as if you were to live forever. ~ Mahatma Ghandi
Digg this Post!Add Post to del.icio.usBookmark Post in TechnoratiFurl this Post!
Reply With Quote
  post #5 (permalink)  
Old 07-21-2006, 10:43 AM
Nomad's Avatar
Nomad surfing AZNLover.com
I have some Thai in me!
 
About
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Cross your fingers f
Gender: Female
AL Buck$: 6,738
Posts: 9,658
Friends: (30)
Nominated 0 Times in 0 Posts
TOTW Award(s): 0
Rep Power: 729 @ 58820
Nomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud of
OK, that article kinda backs up what I was saying, especially the part where they made reference to 50 years ago when everyone was married by 20. That's just what I was saying. Things are changing. I see people who are older than 30 get married all the time, and I am not suprised that the odds are good. I'm glad of that for all the people who fall into that category who do want to get married eventually.
Digg this Post!Add Post to del.icio.usBookmark Post in TechnoratiFurl this Post!
Reply With Quote
  post #6 (permalink)  
Old 07-21-2006, 10:49 AM
sushirama's Avatar
sushirama status is: thankful!
AZNLover.com Premium/Supporting Member
 
About
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Bay Area, California
Gender: Female
AL Buck$: 12,888
Posts: 3,505
Friends: (56)
Nominated 7 Times in 4 Posts
TOTW Award(s): 0
Rep Power: 5230 @ 515026
sushirama has a reputation beyond reputesushirama has a reputation beyond reputesushirama has a reputation beyond reputesushirama has a reputation beyond reputesushirama has a reputation beyond reputesushirama has a reputation beyond reputesushirama has a reputation beyond reputesushirama has a reputation beyond reputesushirama has a reputation beyond reputesushirama has a reputation beyond reputesushirama has a reputation beyond repute
Quote:
Originally Posted by SoldierGirl
OK, that article kinda backs up what I was saying, especially the part where they made reference to 50 years ago when everyone was married by 20. That's just what I was saying. Things are changing. I see people who are older than 30 get married all the time, and I am not suprised that the odds are good. I'm glad of that for all the people who fall into that category who do want to get married eventually.
Yea... it was written a while ago and that terrorist quote caused all kinds of havoc way back then. I was trying to get this damn article to load but it would fail every freaking time but it was a report done by Yale that reported something like 97% ends up married.
Digg this Post!Add Post to del.icio.usBookmark Post in TechnoratiFurl this Post!
Reply With Quote
  post #7 (permalink)  
Old 07-21-2006, 11:20 AM
Nomad's Avatar
Nomad surfing AZNLover.com
I have some Thai in me!
 
About
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Cross your fingers f
Gender: Female
AL Buck$: 6,738
Posts: 9,658
Friends: (30)
Nominated 0 Times in 0 Posts
TOTW Award(s): 0
Rep Power: 729 @ 58820
Nomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud ofNomad has much to be proud of
LOL You're so right! I remember on the weddings and engagements page of the paper the week me and Thak put out our wedding announcement, I was the youngest bride on the page. Everyone else was either in their 30's or close to it. Hell, if I had a dime for every person who told me I was crazy for marrying at 22, I'd be pretty rich by now. It seems to be the way of the world that people really don't marry till they're in their 30's or close to it now.
Digg this Post!Add Post to del.icio.usBookmark Post in TechnoratiFurl this Post!
Reply With Quote
  post #8 (permalink)  
Old 07-21-2006, 01:27 PM
sam's Avatar
sam sam is offline
sam surfing AZNLover.com
The Divine Lover
 
About
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Toronto
Gender: Male
AL Buck$: 2,248
Posts: 811
Friends: (0)
Nominated 0 Times in 0 Posts
TOTW Award(s): 0
Rep Power: 117 @ 6491
sam is just really nicesam is just really nicesam is just really nicesam is just really nicesam is just really nicesam is just really nicesam is just really nicesam is just really nicesam is just really nicesam is just really nicesam is just really nice
DID YOU EVEN BOTHER READING THE ARTICLE?! I mean you linked to it and asked for contradictory numbers, and the article itself contains the research that refutes your numbers.

Quote:
Originally Posted by carpediem

An recent article stated, "...demographic research predicting that white, college-educated women who failed to marry in their 20s faced abysmal odds of ever tying the knot. According to the research, a woman who remained single at 30 had only a 20 percent chance of ever marrying. By 35, the probability dropped to 5 percent. In the story's most infamous line, NEWSWEEK reported that a 40-year-old single woman was "more likely to be killed by a terrorist" than to ever marry." - that's crazy and fucking amazing.
Be more careful with your quoting and read the context more carefully.

The passage you quote from a "recent article" is referencing from an article that is 20 years old.

Add this bit into the beginning of your blockquote:
Quote:
Twenty years ago this week, Aronson was one of more than a dozen single women featured in a NEWSWEEK cover story. In "The Marriage Crunch," the magazine reported on new demographic research predicting that white, college-educated women who failed to marry in their 20s faced abysmal odds of ever tying the knot.
This looks like the latest stat in the article...

Quote:
When the Census last crunched the numbers in 1996, a single woman at 40 had a 40.8 percent chance of eventually marrying. Today those odds are probably even higher—and may be only slightly worse than the probability of correctly choosing "heads" or "tails" in a coin toss.
And they even managed to dig up old numbers that proved that original quote to be wrong 20 years ago...

Quote:
Some demographers immediately doubted the dire odds. Within months Census researchers did their own study and concluded that a 40-year-old single woman really had a 17 to 23 percent probability of eventually marrying, not 2.6 percent. In retrospect, the demographers faced a huge challenge in getting these predictions right. That's because marital behavior was undergoing a profound shift. Before 1980, a woman who hadn't married by 30 probably never would. But times were changing.

Last edited by sam; 07-21-2006 at 01:31 PM.
Digg this Post!Add Post to del.icio.usBookmark Post in TechnoratiFurl this Post!
Reply With Quote